Warriors Celtics Spread

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The Golden State Warriors (11-9) will look to Stephen Curry (first in the league scoring 27.7 points per game) when they attempt to knock off Jaylen Brown (ninth in the NBA with 27.1 PPG) and the Boston Celtics (10-8 on Tuesday, February 2 at Chase Center. The Warriors are home underdogs in the game, which starts at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has an over/under of points.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from William Hill Sportsbook as of February 1, 2021, 4:25 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

+11.5 +700 Celtics @ Warriors-1000 -11.5 109-106 o221.5 Details BOS Celtics Marcus Smart (PG) Smart is sidelined with a Grade 1 left calf strain, and he is projected to miss two to three weeks. See the odds, spread and analysis on the game below The Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics meet for the first time this season at Chase Center on February 2nd. Golden State are three-point underdogs, and come into this game with a depleted frontcourt.

Celtics

Celtics vs Warriors Betting Odds

Celtics vs Warriors Props

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Injury Report as of February 1

Celtics:
Marcus Smart: Out (Calf),
Romeo Langford: Out (Right wrist),
Payton Pritchard: Out (Knee)

Warriors:
Alen Smailagic: Out (Knee),
Klay Thompson: Out For Season (Right Achilles),
Marquese Chriss: Out For Season (Leg)

Celtics and Warriors Records ATS

  • Boston has put together a 10-8 record against the spread this season.
  • When favored by at least 2.5 points, the Celtics are 5-5 against the spread in 2020-21.
  • 9 of 18 Boston games this season (50%) resulted in a total greater than the contest’s over/under.
  • Golden State has met expectations of oddsmakers this season with an even 10-10 record ATS.
  • As at least a 2.5-point underdog, the Warriors frequently meet expectations with a 4-3 record against the spread.
  • 45% of Golden State’s 20 games this season have topped the over/under.

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Warriors Cavs Spread

Scoring Trends

Warriors Celtics Spread
  • In Boston’s matchups this season, the Celtics and their opponents have exceeded Tuesday’s over/under of 224.5 points eight times (44.4% of opportunities).
  • Eight Golden State games this year (40% of its matchups) finished with a final point total greater than Tuesday’s point total of 224.5 points.
  • The Celtics have seen a 220.8 average over/under in their games this season, 3.7 points fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.2 points fewer than the average over/under in Warriors’ games this season (225.7 points).
  • The average implied total for the Celtics this season is 112.5 points, 1.5 fewer points than their implied total of 114 points in Tuesday’s game.
  • Boston has outscored this matchup’s implied point total (114) nine times.
  • The 117.1-point average implied total on the season for the Warriors is 6.1 more points than the team’s 111-point implied total in this matchup.
  • Golden State has scored more than this game’s implied total of 111 points 10 times this season.
  • The Celtics are the league’s 16th-highest scoring team (111.6 PPG), while the Warriors allow the 23rd-fewest points per game (113.3) in NBA play.
  • The Celtics have totaled a total of 44 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 2.4 per game), while the Warriors have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 18 total points, -0.9 per game).

Celtics Leaders

  • The Celtics scoring leader is Brown, who puts up 27.1 points per game.
  • Brown’s PRA prop over/under for the game is set at 30.5, 5.5 less than his season average of 36.0.
  • Boston is led in rebounding by Tristan Thompson’s 8.4 rebounds per game and assisting by Marcus Smart’s 6.1 assists per game .
  • Smart’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 20.5, 1.4 lower than his season average of 21.9.
  • Jayson Tatum hits 3.1 threes per game to lead the Celtics.
  • Tatum’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 2.5, 0.6 shots lower than his season average of 3.1.
  • Boston’s blocks leader is Robert Williams III, who averages 1.5 per game. Smart leads the team averaging 1.8 steals a contest.
  • Smart’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.3 steals less than his season average of 1.8.

Warriors Leaders

Warriors Celtics Spread
  • Curry outpaced his teammates on the Warriors scoring front by putting up 27.7 points per game. He adds 5.4 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game this season.
  • Curry’s points prop total for the game is set at 28.5, 0.8 points higher than his season average of 27.7.
  • The Golden State leaders in rebounds and assists are James Wiseman (6.1 rebounds per game) and Draymond Green (6.6 assists per game).
  • Green’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 20.5, 4.4 higher than his season average of 16.1.
  • Curry makes more threes per game than any other member of the Warriors, cashing in 4.5 treys per game.
  • Curry’s three pointers made prop total for the game is set at 4.5, equal to his season average of 4.5.
  • Golden State’s Kelly Oubre Jr. has the top spot on the team’s steals leaderboard with 1.3 per game and Andrew Wiggins is first in blocks with 1.5 per game.
  • Oubre’s steals prop over/under for the contest is set at 1.5, 0.2 steals greater than his season average of 1.3.

Predictions

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The Boston Celtics visit the Golden State Warriors in a cross-conference NBA showdown on Tuesday evening. Boston is looking to snap a two-game losing skid as it arrives in San Francisco. The Celtics are 5-5 on the road this season. Golden State is 8-4 in home tilts this season, including three straight victories at Chase Center. Draymond Green (adductor) and Eric Paschall (back) are listed as probable for the Warriors. Marcus Smart (calf) is out for Boston, with James Wiseman (wrist) out for Golden State.

Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. The latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Boston as a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. The over-under for total points is set at 227. Before finalizing any Celtics vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 73-44 roll on top-rated picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Celtics. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Celtics vs. Warriors:

  • Celtics vs. Warriors spread: Celtics -2.5
  • Celtics vs. Warriors over-under: 227 points
  • Celtics vs. Warriors money line: Celtics -140, Warriors +120
  • BOS: The Celtics are 4-4 against the spread in the last eight games
  • GSW: The Warriors are 5-3 against the spread in the last eight games
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Video: Highlights: Celtics fall to Lakers at the buzzer (NBC Sports)

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Why the Celtics can cover

Boston is a balanced, talented team, and the Celtics should benefit from matchup advantages against Golden State. The Warriors are currently a bottom-10 offensive team in the league, scoring only 1.08 points per possession. Golden State is also very poor on the glass, ranking in the bottom five of the NBA in offensive rebound rate (23.2 percent) and defensive rebound rate (71.4 percent).

Boston should also be able to get to the free throw line with consistency, as Golden State is second-worst in the NBA at preventing opponents from generating attempts at the charity stripe. The Celtics should punish the Warriors with second-chance opportunities, as Boston generates an offensive rebound on 29.1 percent of missed shots. Finally, Boston is very strong at generating turnovers, producing 9.1 steals per game and ranking sixth in the league in creating a turnover on 15.5 percent of defensive possessions.

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State has one of the NBA's best offensive forces in Stephen Curry. Not only does Curry produce 27.7 points, 6.1 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game, his gravity allows the rest of the Warriors to flourish in an easier offensive environment. One example is the play of Andrew Wiggins, who is averaging 17.9 points per game and shooting 40.6 percent from 3-point range. As a team, the Warriors are also third in the NBA in assist rate (65.4 percent), and Golden State ranks in the top 10 in turnover avoidance, committing a giveaway on only 14.0 percent of offensive possessions.

On the other end, the Warriors are solid-or-better with Green on the court, and Golden State limits opponents to a 51.3 percent effective field goal shooting mark. Finally, the Warriors force a turnover on 15.1 percent of defensive possessions, a top-10 metric, and that variance could be crucial for Golden State against a quality opponent.

How to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with with teams projected to combine for 232 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

Warriors Celtics Prediction

So who wins Celtics vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Celtics vs. Warriors spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.